The doctor predicted the peak incidence of coronavirus in Russia: Society: Russia: Lenta.ru
Russia reached a peak in the incidence of coronavirus in early November, when the daily increase will be about 40 thousand people, the immunologist Nikolai Kryuchkov predicted in a conversation with Lenta.ru. He added that the negligence of citizens to comply with anti-epidemic measures could slow down the plateau.
Earlier, the chief freelance specialist in infectious diseases of the Russian Ministry of Health, Professor Vladimir Chulanov, said that Russia has not yet reached the fourth wave of coronavirus. According to him, the spread of infection in the country depends on the level of vaccination and compliance with restrictive measures due to the situation with the coronavirus.
Kryuchkov recalled that one of the most significant factors in overcoming the epidemic is these individual prevention measures. But given the fact that almost all tours to hot countries for the period of non-working days have already been sold out, there is no need to talk about special awareness, according to him.
“I think that the wave of coronavirus will subside when we grow to 40,000 cases per day,” Kryuchkov said. – I guess it should happen sometime in early November. The rate of decline will depend on the measures taken by the authorities: if the lockdown lasts at least two weeks, if they carefully monitor the observance of all antiquated measures, then the decline is obvious. If not, slow and smooth. “
In order to accelerate the passage of the peak of the incidence, according to the doctor, it is faster to resort to measures that reduce the travel opportunities of Russians.
“First, the number of ratings for the most popular destinations should be reduced. After all, we know them very well: these are Turkey, Egypt, all the tours are now sold out exactly there. Secondly, it is necessary to regulate within the country at the hotel level: to reduce the number of rooms that can be rented out at the same time. However, even if this is not done, the balance after the non-working days will be positive. The only question is whether significant or incredibly noticeable. As the medic said.
Kryuchkov added that as the flow of tourists on the November holidays is an important income for the tourism industry during the crisis period.
Earlier, the infectious disease specialist Yevgeny Timakov said that the new wave of the COVID-19 pandemic would be the most difficult for Russians. According to him, the situation will stabilize only by mid-December.