PIE Polish pinch Institute of Economics I gather opinions of about 30 experts from science, governmental and non-governmental, entitled “Poland’s energy foresight”.
They rated the sample by the PIE nine Tephites, and so information for the future was found. Theses were constructed for us to cooperate with the committee, using the abbreviation in which five experts sit. Experts took advantage of their share of highlighting that the repair was fixed with lignite mining and setting and allowances, which apply 70 percent of the coal production. PIE at the beginning of the collected opinions and theirs, but equally well calculated for each of the theses. Experts estimate that the end of coal mining for energy purposes in Poland in 2044, and its reform one year later. The government has yet to specify the coal on the departure day.
With government documents like a social contract like that by 2049. Experts also note that one of the factors determining the earlier departure from coal, in addition to rising prices of CO2 emission allowances, is many outdated coal blocks. Is 2040 one replacement or costly refurbishments. Meanwhile, however, an instrument that had time to continue with new power plants, the duration of the capacity, will not require you to start investment decisions. Experts asked by PIE put forward optimistic theses about the implementation of RES. On average, in 2033, a renewable energy source in Poland is responsible for over 30 percent. gross final energy consumption. In turn, Poland undertook in the plans for energy and climate air conditioning sent to the European Union that this level would be higher than 23 percent. and up to three years earlier. The analysis shows that there is an equally good future for offshore wind energy. As much as 67 percent. The questionnaire determined that Poland would exceed 10 GW was supplemented with a questionnaire in 2031. Meanwhile, the Polish Energy Policy (PEP) shows that by 2030 nearly 6 GW of capacity may be generated. pour. However, the new location tables have not yet been released. Moreover, there is no key regulation yet to start this process. The project presented by the Ministry of Infrastructure still raises a lot of controversy, especially from the start. PEP assumes that the capacity of nearly 11 GW of capacity will be achieved in 20 years. – In the context of the challenges, they are very optimistic before taking the standing measures indicated by the experts. However, remember that energy must be included in this area and must be taken into account very quickly. In 2021 alone, the prices of CO2 emission allowances close to EUR to the amount above 30 EUR 60 per ton – comments Adam Juszczak from the energy and climate team at PIE. – Governments according to the study according to the study in the documents of energy outflow and carbon dictated emissions, which brings a proclaimed voice when they have already procured the Fit for 55 study.
More skeptical about the development of nuclear energy. – Average of the public opinion that the first nuclear power plant will not be put into operation until 2038. It is five years later than assumed under the Polish nuclear power industry. – Skepticism about the timely implementation of the plan or access to the possibility of a nuclear power plant is due to the amount of measurement from the slow operation of the nuclear program started in 2009. Among the important arguments that have changed, also EU support for energy, which also has nuclear access, is to be obtained, or taxonomies that relate to the implementation of investments in other countries, such as the French power plant Flamanville or British references Hinkley Point C – Juszczak.