Hockey in numbers: Preview of the season – HC Sparta Prague | Hokej.cz
Photo: Jan Beneš, hcsparta.cz
Thanks to our Game Score model, it will gradually allow you to see a preview and predictions of all teams for the Tipsport extra league 2021/2022 season. Now let’s break down Sparta.
After two weaker seasons between 2017 and 2019, Sparta finished the basic part among the top four for the second time in a row. After third place and gaining 92 points in the 2019/2020 season, in the last year it was even a victory in the basic part with 108 points, which means 69% of possible points.
In the playoffs, Sparta subsequently eliminated the 4: 0 ratio for matches in the Olomouc quarterfinals, but it was not an easy series from her point of view. Subsequently, she was not enough in the semifinals to Liberec. She fell with the Tigers after a seven-match battle, when during the series there were three times overtime and a total of four matches, including the decisive seventh, in the end by a difference of one goal.
Prague’s Sparta is entering the new season again as one of the big favorites, under the leadership of coach Josef Jandač. In the summer, Sparta showed several changes in the lineup, how did they affect?
Prediction
If we add up the arrivals and departures, then from the point of view of our model, Sparta experienced the second worst summer, when it lost a total of six wins.
The first reason is that important players such as Lukáš Rousek, David Tomášek or Jan Košťálek left Sparta. The second is the fact that Sparta hunted mainly abroad, when only Zdeněk Doležal from České Budějovice came within the extra league. As a result, the shorter model of a player from foreign competitions is rated less when only the Canadian body is available.
Thus, Sparta may be slightly underestimated at the beginning of the year, but during the year there should be a quick correction, either once or in the other direction according to the performance of the players.
At the moment, Sparta belongs to the fourth position in our model, when its biggest point gain appears to be 92.1 points. However, the chance of overcoming 100 points is almost a quarter of Sparta and its position among the best four is approximately 50 to 50 before the start of the season.
The quarterfinals, which should be an absolute obligation in the case of the last winner of the basic part, are very real for Sparta and the repetition of the semi-final participation will gain almost a probability of one to two. The model then gives Sparta a 13% chance of a title.
Composition
Sparta has an elite forward, defender and goalkeeper in its team.
The goalkeeper is of the greatest value in our model
Alexander Salák
goalkeeper, 34 years
“href =” https://www.hokej.cz/hrac/5488 “> Alexander Salák, who brings Sparta almost six wins. He puts in the goal eleven times in the basic part last season and scored eight wins with a success rate of 94%! During these matches, he managed to catch 7.8 goals more than expected in a 5-on-5 game and stopped 9.5 goals more than the extra-league average. It thus ranks fifth or first among all goalkeepers. In the sum of all situations, he caught 9.4 goals more than the average extra-league goalkeeper and collected six goals less than expected. In both cases, he is comfortably one of the best goals, but he still caught a few hundred minutes less than the other goalkeepers from the top.