Disintegration in the Czech Republic Covid-19: How and when it will disintegrate
On April 22, 2021, the Ministry of Health introduced a new system of so-called packages, on the basis of which it will be dismantled. The main criterion will be the development of weekly infections per hundred thousand inhabitants. Where is the Czechia headed, what would it look like in other European countries according to this new system and what about the PES and the risk index?
Anti-epidemic system of the Czech Republic or abbreviated as DOG has been the target of long-term criticism. Lay people, because the government did not follow it for several months, the professional public for not recalibrated to the new covid-19 mutation.
Nationwide risk index score the PES system is not averaged from the index of all regions, but is calculated for the whole republic together. Therefore, the risk index for the Czech Republic differs with the number that comes out when averaging all regions. The risk index is calculated from 14-day infections both in the whole population and among the elderly, from the reproductive number and the percentage of seizures of new cases during hospitalization.
New package system It works on a much simpler basis than the PES mentioned above. The main and only criterion is weekly infection per hundred thousand inhabitants. All you have to do is read the confirmed cases of covid-19 in the last week and divide the value by about 107, which is the number of inhabitants divided by 100,000.
There are several packages and they are also divided into schools and then the rest, such as cultural events, restaurants, etc. However, the new system is much stricter at first glance. For example, in order to allow indoor concerts or plays or the full opening of a restaurant, it is necessary that the infection is not confirmed in more than about 5,300 people per week.
Packages to return to normal life
Photo: Ministry of Health of the Czech Republic
In order to move at least to package number 4, when the gardens of restaurants, castles and chateaux will be opened, the number of people at weddings and funerals, etc. will increase, so that the weekly infection must not exceed about 8,000 new infections.
Given that the number of infected people has been steadily declining in recent weeks, all forecasts look optimistic. However, it is necessary to wait for the new disintegration to be reflected in the number of infected.
In its report on the presentation of packages, the ministry predicts that package No. 3 could enter into force in the first half of May and package No. 4 in the second half of the month. For this No. 5, he states that the assumption is very uncertain and estimates it sometime between June and July.
Incidence curve by weeks