On October 23, 2015, at 8:00 a.m., the EDT National Hurricane Center said Hurricane Patricia had grown into a monstrous hurricane. In fact, it is the strongest hurricane in the eastern North Pacific in history. NASA-NOAA’s Finland nuclear power plant satellite analyzes the temperatures and structures of the storm as it exceeds it.
A hurricane warning was in effect on October 23 from San Blas to Punta San Telmo. A hurricane guard was in force east of Punta San Telmo to Lazaro Cardenas and a tropical storm warning was in force east of Punta San Telmo to Lazaro Cardenas.
When NASA-NOAA’s Finland nuclear power plant satellite passed over Patricia on October 23 at 0923 UTC (05:23 EDT), the Visible Infrared Imaging Radiometer Suite or VIIRS instrument flying at the Finnish nuclear power plant looked at the storm in infrared light. The highest temperatures of the thunderstorms around the eye wall were close to minus 90 degrees Celsius (minus 130 Fahrenheit). Recent microwave images show that a concentric eye wall is developing. If the trend to change the wall of the eye continues, it would cause the intensity to at least level off later today.
Two records broken
The National Hurricane Center reports that Patricia is the strongest hurricane ever in the National Hurricane Center (AOR) area of responsibility, which includes the Atlantic and Eastern Pacific basins. The estimated minimum pressure from the aircraft data, 880 millibars, is the lowest ever in the AOR. The National Hurricane Center noted, “It seems incredible that the intensification could happen even more before landing later today. The official forecast shows only a little more reinforcement before landing.”
Latest statistics and location
On October 23, at 8:00 a.m. EDT (1200 UTC), Hurricane Patricia’s eye was located near latitude 17.3 north, longitude 105.6 west. It is about 145 miles (235 km) southwest of Manzanillo, Mexico and about 215 miles (345 km) south of Cabo Corrientes, Mexico.
Patricia was moving towards the northwest at close to 19 mph and a turn to the north is expected later this morning, followed by a turn to the northeast this afternoon. On the forecast trajectory, Patricia’s core will land in the hurricane warning area today, October 23, 2015, in the afternoon or evening.
The maximum continuous wind stays close to 200 mph (325 km / h) and there are more gusts. The National Hurricane Center (NHC) said Patricia is a Class 5 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson hurricane wind scale. Some fluctuations in intensity are possible today, but Patricia is expected to remain a very dangerous Class 5 hurricane through landing. Hurricane winds extend outward up to 45 miles downtown and tropical storm winds extend outwardly up to 280 miles. The estimated minimum pressure is 880 millibars.
Wind, rain, storm
According to the NHC, hurricane conditions are expected to be the first to arrive in the hurricane warning area this afternoon. Tropical storm conditions have begun to spread to different parts of the warning zone. Patricia is expected to produce 8 to 12-inch rainfall in total up to 20 inches in the Mexican states of Nayarit, Jalisco, Colima, Michoacan and Guerrero until Saturday. These rains can cause life-threatening floods and mud shows. The rise of a very dangerous storm is expected to cause significant coastal flooding near and to the right of the center. Near the coast, waves are followed by large and devastating waves.
The swelling caused by Patricia is already affecting parts of the south coast of Mexico and spreading to the northwest around the next day. These swellings are likely to cause life-threatening surfing and tear up current conditions.
According to NHC forecasters, Patricia is going on a potentially catastrophic landing in southwestern Mexico later today. NHC Forecaster Pasch said: “In addition to the impact on the coast, very heavy rains are likely to cause life-threatening floods and mud shows in the Mexican states of Jalisco, Colima, Michoacan and Guerrero on Saturday.
Given the very mountainous terrain that Patricia would have to face after landing, the cyclone should deteriorate even faster than inside the country than the normal rate of inland water degradation predicts. “
Updated forecasts can be found at: http://www.nhc.noaa.gov
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