Prague in 2050: the city of seniors. But it should have more inhabitants than today
Residents of Prague
in statisticsCurrent balance as of January 31, 2014: a total of 1,247 million
Number of widows: 69,500
Number of widows: 14,100
Estimated number by 2050 in total: 1,385 million
Estimated population growth of 11 percent: about 140 thousand people
Source: CZSO
It is Prague and the Central Bohemian Region that will maintain population stability relatively well for the next 36 years.
“But it is necessary that the younger grades will definitely not prevail over the older ones. So the capital will age like other regions, but much more slowly, “explained Josef Škrabal, director of the CZSO’s population statistics department.
According to the director, Prague had almost 1,250 million inhabitants as of January this year, and in 2050 it should have 1,385 million.
“Population growth also depends on the attitude of the municipality, housing and social policy with regard to higher birth rates. Prague also has one big peculiarity, which is the lowest number of inhabitants per apartment, “said director Josef Škrabal, adding that only two people live in the apartment on average.
The issue is crucial in this regard, and it is likely that the number of children born will be reached with great difficulty in the current development of society.
Obstetricians experienced a boom especially in the years 2008 to 2010. Despite the fact that, according to Terezia Štyglerová from the CZSO’s Department of Demographic Statistics, the share of 65-year-olds will increase in all regions. However, according to Štyglerová, Prague will not be so bad at it yet. Migration and the influx of younger inhabitants will contribute to this. The average age of Praguers would thus increase by less than three years in other future ones, while in regions according to the CZSO by up to nine years.
Foreigners are the main contributors to the growth
However, Prague is already the “oldest” region: there are 77 children under the age of 100 per 100 people over the age of 64, which is the metropolis of the lowest proportion of children of all regions. “This is due, for example, to the fact that there are still many seniors and they stay in the city, on the contrary, families with children or young people who want to start a family often live outside the city, “said Eva Vojtová, head of the Prague census, adding that foreigners, who make up 14 percent, are the main contributors to population growth. population, especially Ukrainians, Russians and Slovaks.
It is also a fact that people living in Prague move a lot outside the city to the Central Bohemian region, so the number of children increased by only 3.5 percent compared to the previous census. Prague is also traditionally the most educated city, with almost 25 percent of the most university-educated people living here, and another 34.5 percent having a high school diploma. According to statistics, about 0.3 people are illiterate. “This is not a completely final result, the details in this regard will be known after the final analysis,” said Vojtová.
The family model cannot be determined yet
The results of the census also show how it is with the obligations of the population. There are most single men in Prague suitable for marriage. That’s 44 percent of all men. 36 percent of women are single, but unfortunately Prague also holds the lead in terms of divorce. “The model of the Prague family cannot yet be determined exactly according to the census results processed so far, it will be clear only after the details of households have been finalized,” Vojtová pointed out.
Whether population stability or a possible noticeable size of the population of Prague will continue to maintain also depends on the development of society, according to the Statistical Office. That is, whether the current trend of shrinking households will continue or, conversely, the trend of enlarging families will start.
Where and how to continue to build
There can be an unexpected population explosion, and the related housing stock problem. This raises another question. That is, where and how to continue to build, because the possibilities of spatial planning in the metropolis will sooner or later come to an end. This has already happened in Singapore, Tokyo and Sydney, Australia. It is built there mainly in height and often very large.
“It is quite clear that Prague is not and will not be so-called inflatable. The tendency of the city is mainly the thickening of buildings and the preservation of greenery. Satellite towns, for example, already have a problem with that, “said Jitka Cvetlerová, director of the construction department and zoning plan at the Prague City Hall. However, according to Cvetlerová, skyscrapers will not grow in the metropolis by 2050.
“Locations have height restrictions here and that will remain the case,” said Jitka Cvetlerová. respond to each other.
“Respectively, it is already responding, because for some residents, for example, Střížkov represents something like an unknown island country. The person in question asked his friend from Střížkov whether a citizen was traveling to his neighborhood or if he already needed a passport, “she looked back at a recently interviewed interview at a department store.
Fears are driving more and more people into cities
However, the aforementioned exaggeration is not underestimated in any way by the architect Václav Beneš. “Cities provide a lot of anonymity, but at the same time they dehumanize people to a certain extent. It will not be different, the conductor of life is now the economy. We also adapt housing requirements to this. One wants a villa, the other wants to build it uncritically from a studio apartment, “Václav Beneš remarked, adding that fears of the future will drive more and more people to the cities.
“The peace of living in 2050 will no longer be anywhere, not even in the proverbial countryside. There is silence only in winter, when the mower engines do not growl on all sides. Civilization is accelerating its pace, everyone can easily compare it to themselves. In some thirty-six years, unsuspected technology will make life much easier, but certainly not in one. One will be alone in a huge crowd, “the architect Beneš predicted